In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Lt. Gov. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Mandela Barnes. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. Keep updated on the latest news and information. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. What it boils down to, according to University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee emeritus professor Mordecai Lee, is "we should all just agree that this is an even race. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. . I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Most young men are single. Current guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission is that an address must include three elements: a street number, street name and municipality. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. 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In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. Barnes sought. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. Mandela Barnes. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. The Oshkosh Republican led Barnes, a Democrat, 51% to 46% among likely voters in a poll commissioned by AARP. Most young women are not. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. This race is over.. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. 33. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. Utah wildlife officials suggest catching this tasty invasive species, Oregon lawmakers propose bill that would give $1K per month to homeless people, Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024, Democrats plot effort to counter Tucker Carlson on Jan. 6 narrative, Ticketmaster, PayPal, eBay are hassling customers to report sales even though the IRS says they dont have to, Biden to trigger tax fight Senate Democrats dont want, To topple Trump, GOP challengers lean on personality over policy, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". Ron Johnson has turned up the volume on the issue of race in his closing message to base voters, whose support will be crucial in his tight contest against Mandela Barnes, who would be the state's . That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Wisconsin's GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. Develop 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . Johnson got a boost from voters'. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. The Wisconsin Senate candidate Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally on Saturday in Milwaukee. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. Hungry? For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. In 2016, Johnson stunned political observers when he defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold after Marquette polling in late August showed Feingold ahead by 4 percentage points. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. Johnson was one of Trump's most ardent legislative supporters of the 2017 tax reform bill, which overhauled the tax code and repealed the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, who was first elected during the conservative Tea Party wave in 2010, defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. He is someone who cares about people like me." (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. Leaders expect it to keep growing. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. Lt. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Mandela Barnes. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. / CBS News. More from Yorkshire Post. In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. . By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. Lt. Gov. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. "Now, that's what Democrats have been doing to Ron Johnson for nearly two years," said Lee. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. C-SPAN, an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels (C-SPAN, C-SPAN2 and C-SPAN3), one radio station and a group of. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Besides Mandela and Ron, Gov Tony Evers, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and . The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. Sign up now! Lt. Gov. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. The small margins indicate a tight race with the midterms just two weeks away. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. Timothy Nerozzi is a writer for Fox News Digital. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. IE 11 is not supported. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. All rights reserved. Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a. In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. The Associated Press calls the race for Johnson at 11:46 AM. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. Wisconsins gubernatorial race, meanwhile, has tightened: 47 percent of likely voters support incumbent Democratic Gov. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. Legal Statement. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. Mandela Barnes, clashed on crime and Jan. 6 as they tussled during their first debate on Friday.. Moderator and veteran newscaster . Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Paul Ryan says he'll support 'anybody but Trump' in the 2024 presidential contest, Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. Market data provided by Factset. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. 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